AGOASSURED GUARANTY LTD
Surety Insurance
- Revenue
- $0
- Operating margin
- —
- EBITDA
- —
- Market cap
- $3.1B
- Employees
- 367
- Net debt / EBITDA
- —
- $1.4B net debt
- AI in 10-K
- 0.2
- mentions per 10K words
Takeover score 4 of 13
Fixable underperformance 2 of 7
- TSR below peersNo—3+ of last 5 years
- High CEO pay despite TSRNo—Median CEO pay ≥ $15M while TSR trails
- Earnings not backed by cashYes51% of net incomeCash flow under 80% of net income
- Dilutive SBCNo—Over 10% of revenue
- Payouts exceed cash flowYes219% of cash flowBuybacks + dividends over cash flow
- Goodwill-heavyNo0% of assetsOver 40% of assets
- Shareholder dissentNo92% lowest supportAny vote under 80% support
Buyer economics 2 of 4
- Low revenue per employeeNo—Bottom quartile of its SIC industry
- Quiet on AIYes0.2 per 10K words · 12th pctBottom quartile of AI mentions in 10-Ks
- Net cashNo—More cash than debt, positive EBITDA
- Buyout-sizedYes$3.1B market capMarket cap $500M–$5B
Catalysts 0 of 2
- Active 13DNo0 filingsActive-intent 13D in 18 months
- Net insider sellingNo−$7M netNet sales over $10M in 12 months
Financials
| Metric | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $88M | $93M | $53M | $0 | $0 | |
| Net income | $389M | $124M | $739M | $376M | $503M | 34% |
| Operating cash flow | −$1.9B | −$2.5B | $461M | $47M | $259M | 451% |
| Buybacks | $496M | $500M | $199M | $502M | $500M | 0.4% |
| Dividends | $66M | $64M | $67M | $68M | $68M | 0.0% |
Deal filings
None.
13D filers
None on file.
Insider trading
- Open-market buys, 12 mo
- $11M · 2
- Open-market sells, 12 mo
- $18M · 14
- Net
- −$7M
Pay vs performance
No pay-versus-performance disclosure yet.