TakeoverPE & activists

AGIOAGIOS PHARMACEUTICALS, INC.

Pharmaceutical Preparations · $1.8B market cap · 200,000 employees

0.6×

Less likely than average to be taken private

Top 32% of the Russell 3000 for a buyout by a private-equity firm, holdco or insiders. How it works

Takeover signals

What an activist or buyer would see: cheap, overpaid, diluted or under pressure.

9 other checks
  • High CEO pay despite TSRNo
    —
    Median CEO pay ≥ $15M while TSR trails
  • Earnings not backed by cashNo
    —
    Cash flow under 80% of net income
  • Payouts exceed cash flowNo
    0% of cash flow
    Buybacks + dividends over cash flow
  • Goodwill-heavyNo
    —
    Over 40% of assets
  • Net cashNo
    —
    More cash than debt, positive EBITDA
  • Recurring revenueNo
    3 of 10
    10-K business scored 7+ of 10 for recurring revenue
  • AI-rollup shapedNo
    0 of 10
    10-K business scored 5+ of 10 as an AI-rollup target
  • Active 13DNo
    0 filings
    Active-intent 13D in 18 months
  • Net insider sellingNo
    −$5M net
    Net sales over $10M in 12 months

Deal filings

FiledFormAcquirerPricePremium
Feb 11, 2021DEFM14AServier Pharmaceuticals, LLC$1800000000.0030%

Key numbers

Revenue
$54MFY2021: $0FY2022: $14MFY2023: $27MFY2024: $36MFY2025: $54M
48% YoY
Operating margin
-873.9%FY2022: -2732.1%FY2023: -1459.5%FY2024: -1166.5%FY2025: -873.9%
25% YoY
EBITDA
−$467MFY2021: −$370MFY2022: −$381MFY2023: −$385MFY2024: −$420MFY2025: −$467M
11% YoY
Net debt / EBITDA
—

Financials

MetricFY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025YoYTrend
Revenue$0$14M$27M$36M$54M 48% FY2021: $0FY2022: $14MFY2023: $27MFY2024: $36MFY2025: $54M
Operating income−$378M−$389M−$391M−$426M−$472M 11% FY2021: −$378MFY2022: −$389MFY2023: −$391MFY2024: −$426MFY2025: −$472M
Net income$1.6B−$232M−$352M$674M−$413M 161% FY2021: $1.6BFY2022: −$232MFY2023: −$352MFY2024: $674MFY2025: −$413M
Operating cash flow−$407M−$309M−$296M−$390M−$373M 4.3% FY2021: −$407MFY2022: −$309MFY2023: −$296MFY2024: −$390MFY2025: −$373M
Capex$6M$5M$999K$2M$4M 156% FY2021: $6MFY2022: $5MFY2023: $999KFY2024: $2MFY2025: $4M
Stock-based comp$54M$49M$45M$43M$53M 23% FY2021: $54MFY2022: $49MFY2023: $45MFY2024: $43MFY2025: $53M

13D filers

FiledFilerFormStakeIntent
Apr 5, 2021BRISTOL MYERS SQUIBB COSC 13D/A0.0%Passive
Nov 14, 2019Celgene European Investment Co LLCSC 13D/A10.6%Passive

Insider trading

−$5Mnet selling by insiders, open market, last 12 months
Bought $0 · 0 tradesSold $5M · 42 trades

Pay vs performance

YearCEO total compComp actually paidTSR (indexed)Peer TSR
FY2025——63120
FY2024——7691
FY2023——5192
FY2022——6589
FY2021——7699