ALRMAlarm.com Holdings, Inc.
Services-Prepackaged Software · $3.2B market cap · 2,058 employees
4.3×
More likely than average to be taken private
Top 2% of the Russell 3000 for a buyout by a private-equity firm, holdco or insiders. How it works
Takeover signals
What an activist or buyer would see: cheap, overpaid, diluted or under pressure.
3of 15 firedHow well they predict deals →
- Net cashYesNet cash · 2.2× EBITDAMore cash than debt, positive EBITDA
- Buyout-sizedYes$3.2B market capMarket cap $500M–$5B
- Recurring revenueYes9 of 1010-K business scored 7+ of 10 for recurring revenue
12 other checks
- TSR below peersNo—3+ of last 5 years
- High CEO pay despite TSRNo$3M medianMedian CEO pay ≥ $15M while TSR trails
- Earnings not backed by cashNo116% of net incomeCash flow under 80% of net income
- Dilutive SBCNo3% of revenueOver 10% of revenue
- Payouts exceed cash flowNo27% of cash flowBuybacks + dividends over cash flow
- Goodwill-heavyNo14% of assetsOver 40% of assets
- Shareholder dissentNo96% lowest supportAny vote under 80% support
- Low revenue per employeeNo$491K · 56th pctBottom quartile of its SIC industry
- Quiet on AINo7.3 per 10K words · 88th pctBottom quartile of AI mentions in 10-Ks
- AI-rollup shapedNo2 of 1010-K business scored 5+ of 10 as an AI-rollup target
- Active 13DNo0 filingsActive-intent 13D in 18 months
- Net insider sellingNo−$8M netNet sales over $10M in 12 months
Key numbers
- Revenue
- $1.0B
- 7.6% YoY
- Operating margin
- 13.2%
- 14% YoY
- EBITDA
- $164M
- 19% YoY
- Net debt / EBITDA
- -2.2×
- −$369M net debt
Financials
| Metric | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $749M | $843M | $882M | $940M | $1.0B | 7.6% |
| Operating income | $62M | $51M | $67M | $109M | $134M | 23% |
| Net income | $51M | $56M | $80M | $123M | $132M | 7.4% |
| Operating cash flow | $103M | $57M | $136M | $206M | $153M | 26% |
| Capex | $11M | $29M | $8M | $10M | $16M | 61% |
| Stock-based comp | $39M | $53M | $47M | $41M | $33M | 20% |
| Buybacks | $0 | $79M | $27M | $75M | $42M | 45% |
13D filers
| Filed | Filer | Form | Stake | Intent |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2020 | TCV VII LP | SC 13D/A | 0.0% | Passive |
| Mar 13, 2020 | TCV VII LP | SC 13D/A | 0.2% | Passive |
Insider trading
−$8Mnet selling by insiders, open market, last 12 months
Bought $1M · 4 tradesSold $9M · 19 trades
Pay vs performance
| Year | CEO total comp | Comp actually paid | TSR (indexed) | Peer TSR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | $3M | $1M | 49 | — |
| FY2024 | $3M | $2M | 59 | — |
| FY2023 | $2M | $5M | 62 | — |
| FY2022 | $3M | −$2M | 48 | — |
| FY2021 | $4M | $2M | 82 | — |