TakeoverPE & activists

AVAHAveanna Healthcare Holdings, Inc.

Services-Home Health Care Services · $2.9B market cap · 32,000 employees

5.4×

More likely than average to be taken private

Top 1% of the Russell 3000 for a buyout by a private-equity firm, holdco or insiders. How it works

Takeover signals

What an activist or buyer would see: cheap, overpaid, diluted or under pressure.

11 other checks
  • TSR below peersNo
    —
    3+ of last 5 years
  • High CEO pay despite TSRNo
    $5M median
    Median CEO pay ≥ $15M while TSR trails
  • Earnings not backed by cashNo
    559× net income
    Cash flow under 80% of net income
  • Dilutive SBCNo
    1% of revenue
    Over 10% of revenue
  • Payouts exceed cash flowNo
    0% of cash flow
    Buybacks + dividends over cash flow
  • Shareholder dissentNo
    84% lowest support
    Any vote under 80% support
  • Quiet on AINo
    2.2 per 10K words · 59th pct
    Bottom quartile of AI mentions in 10-Ks
  • Net cashNo
    4.5× EBITDA net debt
    More cash than debt, positive EBITDA
  • Recurring revenueNo
    —
    10-K business scored 7+ of 10 for recurring revenue
  • AI-rollup shapedNo
    —
    10-K business scored 5+ of 10 as an AI-rollup target
  • Active 13DNo
    0 filings
    Active-intent 13D in 18 months

Key numbers

Revenue
$2.4BFY2022: $1.8BFY2023: $1.9BFY2024: $2.0BFY2026: $2.4B
20% YoY
Operating margin
10.5%FY2022: -35.9%FY2023: 0.4%FY2024: 6.9%FY2026: 10.5%
53% YoY
EBITDA
$267MFY2022: −$621MFY2023: $22MFY2024: $151MFY2026: $267M
77% YoY
Net debt / EBITDA
4.5×
$1.2B net debt

Financials

MetricFY2022FY2023FY2024FY2026YoYTrend
Revenue$1.8B$1.9B$2.0B$2.4B 20% FY2022: $1.8BFY2023: $1.9BFY2024: $2.0BFY2026: $2.4B
Operating income−$642M$8M$140M$256M 83% FY2022: −$642MFY2023: $8MFY2024: $140MFY2026: $256M
Net income−$662M−$135K−$11K$225K 2159% FY2022: −$662MFY2023: −$135KFY2024: −$11KFY2026: $225K
Operating cash flow−$48M$23M$33M$126M 286% FY2022: −$48MFY2023: $23MFY2024: $33MFY2026: $126M
Capex$16M———
Stock-based comp$16M$13M$17M$25M 43% FY2022: $16MFY2023: $13MFY2024: $17MFY2026: $25M

13D filers

None on file.

Insider trading

−$782Mnet selling by insiders, open market, last 12 months
Bought $0 · 0 tradesSold $782M · 71 trades

Pay vs performance

YearCEO total compComp actually paidTSR (indexed)Peer TSR
FY2026$5M$18M1036—
FY2024$5M$11M597—
FY2023$3M$6M344—